Wednesday, November 30, 2011

Turkey says imposing economic sanctions on Syrian regime

ANKARA: Turkey has decided to impose economic and financial sanctions on the Syrian regime over its bloody crackdown on the opposition, Foreign Minister Ahmet Davutoglu said on Wednesday.
He said the Syrian regime was “at an impasse” and “prefers to repress its people rather than engage in democratic reforms.”
Davutoglu announced an immediate ban on transactions with the Syrian government and central bank and a freeze on Syrian government assets in Turkey.
Similar measures will be taken against “some well-known businessmen who are strong advocates of the Syrian regime,” he added.
Further measures include a ban on Syrian officials visiting Turkey and halting the transfer of arms and military equipment to the Syrian army.
Turkey will also suspend the high-level strategic council mechanism under which a dozen ministers from both countries convened a few times a year to discuss joint projects before the uprising began in March.
Ankara’s measures come after Arab foreign ministers agreed on Sunday a list of sweeping sanctions designed to cripple the regime of President Bashar al-Assad, which has defied international pressure to halt a bloody crackdown on protests.
Davutoglu underlined that Turkey would not take any measures that would harm the Syrian people and warned the government would contemplate “additional measures” according to the steps taken by the Syrian administration.
Turkey’s sanctions aimed at punishing the Syrian regime are likely to dent trade ties between the two countries.
Current trade volume stands at around 2.5 billion dollars, favourable to Turkey.
Syria is also a major transit country for Turkey’s trade with Middle Eastern countries.
Turkey, a one-time ally of Syria, is increasingly concerned about the regime’s crackdown on dissidents.
Davutoglu called on the Syrian leadership to fulfill people’s legitimate demands as soon as possible, saying that was the only way out of the current impasse.
“At this difficult time, Turkey will continue to stand by the Syrian people resolutely because we strongly believe that we share a common future with Syrian people and will build it together,” he said.
Turkey has stepped up criticism of Assad’s crackdown on opposition protests since Turkish diplomatic missions came under attack by pro-government demonstrators in several Syrian cities earlier this month.
Tensions worsened when two busloads of Turkish pilgrims who were in Syria on their way back from the hajj in Mecca were attacked by Syrian gunmen.
Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan last week urged his one-time ally to step down, becoming the second regional leader to do so after Jordan’s King Abdullah.

Tuesday, November 29, 2011

US prepares to vacate Pakistan air base

The United States is preparing to accede to Pakistani demands that it vacate a remote air base in Pakistan used for drone flights, but the move is not expected to have a significant impact on operations against militants, US government sources say.
Washington is treading lightly not to aggravate an already fragile relationship that was bruised further by a Nato attack on a Pakistani military outpost last weekend that killed 24 Pakistani soldiers near the Afghanistan border.
Pakistan demanded that the United States leave the Shamsi Air Base within 15 days and blocked ground supply routes through Pakistan to US forces in Afghanistan.
Three sources, who declined to be identified because of the issue’s sensitivity, said US planning is under way to leave the base, a remote facility in Balochistan that has been a point of contention.
The cross-border incident escalated tensions between the two countries and the US military is conducting an investigation to find out exactly what happened on the ground.
The moves by the Pakistanis to block ground supply routes and the air base were not expected to significantly hinder US operations.
One US government source said the United States has spent months preparing for a possible eviction from the Pakistan base by building up other drone launching and staging capability.
Earlier this year, after the US raid that killed al Qaeda leader Osama bin Laden, some Pakistani officials demanded that Washington vacate the Shamsi facility.
At the time, however, US officials said that American personnel would remain at the base and would continue to conduct drone flights in pursuit of militants.
But in one concession, the United States stopped conducting lethal drone operations from that base and limited operations to surveillance flights.
US officials believe that this time Pakistan appears much more resolute about carrying out the eviction threat.
Vacating the air base was seen more as an inconvenience rather than a critical blow to drone operations which the United States also conducts from Afghanistan and possibly elsewhere.
BLOCKED SUPPLY ROUTE
The United States also has to deal with the blocking of the ground supply route through Pakistan to Afghanistan.
US Congressman C.A. “Dutch” Ruppersberger, the senior Democrat on the House of Representatives intelligence committee, said that route accounts for less than half the supplies for international forces in Afghanistan and the military has contingency plans.
“We have a large distribution network to make sure that coalition forces are well-stocked,” he told Reuters. “It’s not going to affect our ability to follow through and execute our mission.”
Yet alternate supply routes such as the northern distribution network are not a perfect substitute and there are concerns that the cost of keeping soldiers fed, armed and fueled without use of Pakistani roads would be excessive.
Ruppersberger, who visited Pakistan to meet with officials after US forces killed bin Laden, said the relationship was poor at that point.
“We were starting to improve in the last month or so and then all of a sudden this unfortunate incident occurred, and now we’re right back to where we were again,” he said.
“It is to the advantage of both countries to work together,” Ruppersberger said. “In the end that will come. It’s about relationships, it’s about trust, and unfortunately that hasn’t been there for a while.”
Ruppersberger would not comment on the Shamsi departure.
STILL INVESTIGATING
US officials said there is still considerable confusion about details of the latest border incident.
Wary of further damaging an already delicate situation, US officials were reluctant to speculate about what happened before getting the results of military investigations.
“The focus of the administration at this point is on trying to find ways to show Pakistan that we’re serious about investigating the incident and forging a cooperative relationship in the future,” a US official said on condition of anonymity.
“No one at this point has the complete narrative on what happened,” Pentagon spokesman said.

Most Americans see Pakistan as enemy

The Poll Positions noted that the relationship between the US and Pakistan had been up and down over the past years.



WASHINGTON: A majority of Americans do not see Pakistan as a friend to the United States, says an opinion survey released on Monday.
The survey, conducted on Nov 27, a day after a Nato air strike killed 25 Pakistani soldiers, asked US citizens: Do you consider Pakistan to be a friend or enemy of the United States?
An enemy to the US was the choice of 55 per cent respondents. Only seven pc said they considered Pakistan a friend, 26 pc did not consider Pakistan a friend or enemy and 12 pc did not have an opinion.
The surveyors, a US polling agency called Poll Positions, noted that the relationship between the United States and Pakistan had been up and down over the past years.
The US considers Pakistan a strong ally on the war on terror. However, America politicians expressed some dismay when Osama bin Laden was found living in a house near a Pakistani military intelligence facility. He had reportedly been living there for several years. Pakistan said it did not know Bin Laden was there.
The surveyors pointed out that Pakistan also had expressed anger towards the US over predator drone missile strikes that have killed civilians and members of the Pakistani military. The US says predator drone strikes are an effective tool in targeting terrorists.
Last month, the US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton visited Pakistan as part of a concerted effort to improve relations but the relationship nose-dived when US-led Nato forces blew up two Pakistani military posts near the Afghan border on Saturday, stirring countrywide protests.
The survey also shows another change in US attitudes towards Pakistan. Until recently, Pakistan was more popular among the conservative-minded Republicans apparently because of close ties between the two militaries while Democrats had strong reservations against the country.
But Sunday`s survey shows that now more Republicans see Pakistan as an enemy than Democrats or independents. Among Republicans, 70 pc consider Pakistan an enemy, 6 pc said Pakistan is a friend, 12 pc chose neither, and 12 pc had no opinion.
Democrats countered with 47 pc considering Pakistan an enemy, 11 pc said Pakistan is a friend, 30 pc said neither, and 12 pc offered no opinion. Among Independents, 45 pc looked at Pakistan as an enemy, 4 pc a friend, 37 pc said neither friend nor enemy, and 14 pc did not offer an opinion.
Poll Position`s scientific telephone survey of 1,176 registered voters nationwide was conducted on Nov 27 and has a margin of error of plus, minus three pc.
Poll results are weighted to be a representative sampling of all American adults.

ISAF to retrain troops on civilian casualties: Kabul


KABUL: Nato’s US-led force in Afghanistan will retrain its troops by December 5 on how to avoid civilian casualties, following fresh accusations of civilian killings President Hamid Karzai’s office said on Tuesday.
The move comes with Nato already facing uncomfortable fallout after an air strike killed 24 Pakistani troops near the Afghan border on Saturday.
Karzai’s office quoted a letter from Commander General John Allen as saying he had issued orders “for all units to conduct retraining on our methods of employing force against insurgents while protecting Afghan civilians.”
It added: “No later than 5 December, units will confirm to me that they have complied with these orders.”
The International Security Assistance Force (ISAF) could not immediately confirm the letter.
Pakistan has cut off crucial supply routes to ISAF forces in Afghanistan in retaliation for Saturday’s air strike killing troops across the border.
The issue of civilian casualties has long been highly sensitive in Afghanistan and has fuelled tensions between Karzai and his Western backers.
Karzai last week accused ISAF of killing seven people including six children in an air strike in Zhari district of the southern province of Kandahar.
On Sunday, in the same district three women died while one child and another woman were wounded when an ISAF mortar hit a civilian house, Kandahar governor’s spokesman Zalmai Ayoubi said.
ISAF said it did not have any immediate information on that incident.
Nato commanders say the Taliban and other insurgents frequently hide among the local population in a bid to protect themselves.
However, ISAF forces are supposed to take all possible steps to avoid civilian casualties.
Allen wrote in July that he expected “every member of ISAF to be seized with the intent to eliminate civilian casualties caused by ISAF.”

EU expresses condolences over Nato strike in Pakistan


BRUSSELS: European Union chief diplomat Catherine Ashton expressed condolences to Pakistan on Tuesday over a Nato air strike that killed 24 Pakistani troops and voiced support for an investigation.
Ashton “is closely following reports of the incident,” her office said after Saturday’s raid near the Afghan border, which prompted a furious Islamabad to cut off alliance supply routes to Afghanistan.
“High Representative Catherine Ashton has offered her deepest condolences to the government and people of Pakistan for the loss of life and injuries resulting from the incident along the Afghan-Pakistani border at the weekend,” her office said in a statement.
The EU official “supports Pakistan and Nato efforts to conduct a full investigation,” it said.
Ashton “underlined the EU’s commitment to continue its engagement with Pakistan in pursuit of the shared goals of promoting peace, security and prosperity.”
Her office added: “Pakistan is a vital partner in the region and has an essential role to play in the resolution of the Afghan conflict.”

Merkel ‘very sorry’ about Pakistan boycott of Afghan meet

German Chancellor Angela Merkel speaks during a joint press conference with the King of Jordan following their meeting on bilaterial ties and regional issues including Middle East peace efforts, Egypt and Syria at the Chancellery in Berlin. Merkel said during the press conference she was “very sorry” about a boycott by Pakistan of an upcoming conference in the German city of Bonn on the future of Afghanistan. 

BERLIN: German Chancellor Angela Merkel said Tuesday she was “very sorry” about Pakistan’s announced boycott of a Bonn conference next week on the future of Afghanistan and would try to convince it to attend.
Merkel said Germany would “see what could be done to change” Islamabad’s decision to stay away from the meeting in the western German city, taken in protest at Nato air strikes which killed 24 Pakistani soldiers.
“We are both interested in constructive development of Afghanistan,”Merkel, who will open the Bonn conference, told reporters at a joint press conference with visiting King Abdullah II of Jordan.
“Which is why I consider the conference hosted by the (German) foreign minister to be very important. We always said that conflicts can only be resolved in the region and Pakistan is part of this region which is why we are very sorry that this cancellation came today.”
Merkel said that Berlin had not given up on convincing Islamabad to attend the Bonn meeting, which will bring together foreign ministers from around 100 countries to discuss commitments to the war-ravaged country after the withdrawal of Nato troops in 2014.
Among the invited guests is US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton. “I understand Pakistan’s concern about the loss of human life due to Nato troops but this should not distract from the fact that this Afghanistan conference is a very, very important conference,” she said.
“There was a loya jirga (grand assembly) in Afghanistan and there is now a very, very good chance for a possible political process. On the one hand I can understand (the boycott) but on the other, we will see what still can be done.”Abdullah said Jordan supported all efforts to reach a political solution to the bloody strife in Afghanistan.
“Like Germany, Jordan has its commitments in Afghanistan but again the political process is what takes precedence now,” he said.
“We have a very strong relationship with Pakistan but we do hope that that situation will improve.”A Pakistani official told AFP earlier that Islamabad would boycott Monday’s conference in Bonn over the deadly Nato air strikes at the weekend.
US-led investigators have been given until December 23 to probe the attacks, threatening to prolong significantly Pakistan’s blockade on Nato supplies into Afghanistan implemented in retaliation for the killings.
Islamabad has vowed no more “business as usual” with Washington in the wake of the strikes. In addition to shutting its Afghan border, it ordered Americans to vacate an air base reportedly used by CIA drones and a review of the alliance.

Monday, November 28, 2011

No excuse to violate Pakistan sovereignty: Russia


MOSCOW: Russia’s foreign minister, commenting on the Nato cross-border air attack that killed 24 Pakistani soldiers, said on Monday that a nation’s sovereignty should always be upheld, even when hunting “terrorists”.
“The Russian Foreign Minister… emphasised the unacceptability of violating the sovereignty of states, including during the planning and carrying out of counter-terrorist operations,” the ministry said in a statement.

Obama sees Pakistani deaths as tragedy: spokesman


WASHINGTON: President Barack Obama sees the deaths of 24 Pakistani soldiers in a Nato raid as a tragedy, the White House said Monday, but argued that crisis-wracked US-Pakistani ties were vital to both sides.
White House spokesman Jay Carney said Obama believed Saturday’s attack which threw US-Pakistani ties into turmoil was “a tragedy,” adding that “we mourn those brave Pakistani service members that lost their lives.” “We take this matter very seriously,” said Carney, adding that two inquiries by the International Security Assistance Force (ISAF) in Afghanistan and US Central Command would examine what took place.
“As for our relationship with Pakistan, it continues to be an important cooperative relationship that is also very complicated,” Carney said.
“It is very much in America’s national security interest to maintain a cooperative relationship with Pakistan because we have shared interests in the fight against terrorism,” Carney said.
Pakistan earlier vowed no more “business as usual” with the United States but stopped short of threatening to break the troubled alliance altogether.
Nato and the United States are trying to limit fallout from the attack but Islamabad has shut vital supply routes to the 140,000 foreign troops serving in Afghanistan.
Pakistan called the strike “unprovoked,” worsening US-Pakistani relations which were already in crisis after the killing in May of Osama bin Laden north of Islamabad by US special forces.
The Wall Street Journal, following a similar report by Britain’s Guardian newspaper, cited three Afghan officials and one Western official as saying the air raid was called in to shield allied forces targeting Taliban fighters.
Nato and Afghan forces “were fired on from a Pakistani army base,” the unnamed Western official told the Journal. “It was a defensive action.” An Afghan official said the Kabul government believes the fire came from the Pakistani military base — and not from insurgents. Afghan-Pakistani relations suffer from routine mutual recriminations.

‘Twilight’ vanquishes box office one more time


LOS ANGELES: The latest “Twilight” teen vampire film held its top spot at the North American box office over the long holiday weekend, besting a new “Muppets” movie, industry figures showed Sunday.
“The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn, Part 1” reigned for a second consecutive week with $42 million in ticket sales over the weekend and $62 million over the five-day Thanksgiving holiday, according to Exhibitor Relations.
That was enough to keep ahead of “The Muppets,” the new film based on the Jim Henson puppet characters, which grossed $29.5 million over the weekend, and $42 million since its debut on Wednesday, the preliminary data showed.
In other family fare, the penguin tale “Happy Feet Two” was third with a weekend take of $13.4 million, followed by “Arthur Christmas” ($12.7 million) and Martin Scorsese’s “Hugo” ($11.3 million).
Final figures are usually released on Monday.

Mexican mariachi music named to UN heritage list


MEXICO CITY: Mexico celebrated Sunday as mariachi music was named to Unesco’s list of “intangible cultural heritage” in need of preservation.
The announcement will help to enhance the traditional music which has become an emblem of Mexico, according to a statement from the National Institute of History and Anthropology.
The Mexican music was among the new entries chosen by envoys at a meeting in Indonesia to be inscribed on the UN cultural agency’s list of intangible heritage items.
“Mariachi is a traditional music and fundamental element of Mexican culture, transmitting values, heritage, history and different Indian languages,” the UN Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organisation said.
“Modern Mariachi music includes a wide repertoire of songs from different regions of the country and musical genres. Musicians learn by ear from father to son and through performances at festive, religious and civil events.”
The list aims at ensuring “better visibility of the intangible cultural heritage and raising awareness of its importance while encouraging dialogue that respects cultural diversity,” according to Unesco.

Saudi security forces withdraw from Shia villages


RIYADH: Saudi security forces have withdrawn from Shia villages in Qatif in eastern Saudi Arabia following unrest last week in which four people were killed, witnesses said on Monday.
The move appears aimed at reducing friction with the kingdom’s minority Shias on the first day of Ashura, a 10-day commemoration of the 7th-century killing of the highly revered Imam Hussein.
Security forces pulled out overnight Sunday from Shweika and Awamiya villages in the Eastern Province, scene of intense clashes between protesters and security forces of the Sunni-dominated kingdom, witnesses and rights activists said.
“Armoured vehicles transporting anti-riot forces towards Dammam city have pulled out and checkpoints have been lifted,” said one witness, after those forces were brought in as reinforcements during demonstrations.
Three Shias were shot dead last week during protests triggered by the suspicious death of a fourth Shia near a government security checkpoint.
The interior ministry said security forces had come under fire from gunmen operating on “foreign orders,” hinting at involvement by Saudi’s arch rival Iran. The ministry said two policemen were wounded in the clashes.
Saudi’s Eastern province is home to the majority of the kingdom’s Shia population of around two million, who represent around 10 per cent of Saudis.
In March, Shias in the oil-rich Eastern Province demonstrated in sympathy with fellow Shias in neighbouring Bahrain, after security forces clamped down on pro-democracy protests led by that country’s majority Shia community.
Qatif protesters were back on the street in October demanding the release of those arrested in March.
Last week, they demonstrated demanding the release of prisoners.

US and Nato officials in damage-control exercise


WASHINGTON: The United States and Nato on Sunday described the air strikes on Pakistani posts as an “unintended incident” but reports in the US media indicated that Afghan troops operating in the border region had directed the Nato strikes that killed 24 Pakistani army personnel.
At the White House, US President Barack Obama received several briefings on the raid and its aftermath throughout the Thanksgiving weekend, officials said.
A senior White House official said the United States wanted to work with Pakistan to investigate the deaths.
“This was a tragic unintended incident,” Nato Secretary-General Anders Fogh Rasmussen said in a statement, adding that he fully supported a Nato investigation that was under way.
“We will determine what happened, and draw the right lessons.”
He said he had called Prime Minister Yousuf Raza Gilani and told him that the attack was as “unacceptable and deplorable as the deaths of Afghan and international personnel.”
In a joint statement issued in Washington, US Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton and Defence Secretary Leon E.
Panetta expressed their sympathies and a commitment to review the circumstances of the incident. Both also stressed “the importance of the US-Pakistani partnership, which serves the mutual interests of our people”.
Mr Rasmussen also stressed the joint interest of Nato and Pakistan in the fight against militants and said the alliance was committed to working with Pakistan to ensure such incidents did not recur.
Secretaries Clinton and Panetta said they were closely monitoring the incident in the Mohmand agency, which borders Afghanistan’s eastern Kunar province.
“Both offer their deepest condolences for the loss of life and support fully Nato’s intention to investigate immediately,” it added.
But the Wall Street Journal quoted Afghan military officials as saying that Afghan forces on a night-time operation on Saturday came under fire from across the border in Pakistan before they called in an air strike on two Pakistani military border posts.
Gen. John R. Allen, commander of the International Security Assistance Force and US forces in Afghanistan, met top government leaders in Kabul for a special security meeting to discuss the incident.
A spokesman for the Nato-led International Security Assistance Force, Gen. Carsten Jacobson, told CNN that “a technical situation on the ground … caused the force to call for close air support and it is this close air support that highly likely caused the soldiers that perished on the Pakistani side.”
In another interview to CBS News, Gen. Jacobson elaborated that Afghan and Nato forces were holding a joint exercise in Kunar, close to the border with Pakistan.
“Air support was called in, and it is highly likely that this close air support killed Pakistani soldiers,” he said.
Gen. Jacobson assured Pakistan that an investigation was under way into why close support had been called in: “We need to have the technical proof of what was said at what time by whom to whom. Speed is not important, but we need to get the Pakistani side involved to find out what their involvement was,” he said.
In Washington, a joint State-Pentagon statement pointed out that Secretary Clinton, Gen. Martin E. Dempsey, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, and Gen. Allen, commander had each called their Pakistani counterparts to convey their feelings.
Cameron P. Munter, US ambassador to Pakistan, also met Pakistani government officials in Islamabad.
“In their contacts, these US diplomatic and military leaders each … pledged to remain in close contact with their Pakistani counterparts going forward as we work through this challenging time,” it added.
In a separate statement, Isaf said its leadership remained committed to improving security relations with Pakistan, including
coordination of operations along border regions in the united fight against terrorism.

In Fog of War, Rift Widens Between U.S. and Pakistan

WASHINGTON — The NATO air attack that killed at least two dozen Pakistani soldiers over the weekend reflected a fundamental truth about American-Pakistani relations when it comes to securing the unruly border with Afghanistan: the tactics of war can easily undercut the broader strategy that leaders of both countries say they share.

The murky details complicated matters even more, with Pakistani officials saying the attack on two Pakistani border posts was unprovoked and Afghan officials asserting that Afghan and American commandos called in airstrikes after coming under fire from Pakistani territory. NATO has promised an investigation.
The reaction inside Pakistan nonetheless followed a now-familiar pattern of anger and tit-for-tat retaliation. So did the American response of regret laced with frustration and suspicion. Each side’s actions reflected a deepening distrust that gets harder to repair with each clash.
The question now, as one senior American official put it on Sunday, is “what kind of resilience is left” in a relationship that has sunk to new lows time after time this year — with the arrest in January of a C.I.A. officer, Raymond Davis, the killing of Osama bin Laden in May and the deaths of so many Pakistani soldiers.
In each of those cases, Pakistan had reason to feel that the United States had violated its sovereignty. Even if circumstances on the ground justified the American actions, they have nonetheless made it difficult to sustain political support inside Pakistan for the strategic cooperation that both countries acknowledge is vital to winning the war in Afghanistan. “Imagine how we would feel if it had been 24 American soldiers killed by Pakistani forces at this moment,” Senator Richard J. Durbin, Democrat from Illinois, said on “Fox News Sunday.” The rift is one result of the United States’ two-pronged strategy in Afghanistan, which relies on both negotiating and fighting to end the war.
The latest breach in relations came only five weeks after Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton led a senior American delegation to Pakistan to deliver a blunt warning to the country’s leaders to intensify pressure on extremists carrying out attacks into Afghanistan, while at the same time urging them to help bring more moderate members of the Taliban to the negotiating table.
Mrs. Clinton called the administration’s approach “fight, talk, build,” meaning the United States and its allies would continue to attack militants in Afghanistan and beyond, seek peace talks with those willing to join a political process and build closer economic ties across the region. All are essential to any hope of peace and stability in Afghanistan, and all rely on Pakistan. That has forced the two countries into a strategic alliance whose tactics seem to strain it over and over again.
Mrs. Clinton’s diplomacy — bolstered by Gen. Martin E. Dempsey, the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, and David H. Petraeus, the director of the C.I.A. — appeared to smooth out the roughest edges in relations, according to officials from both countries.
Recognizing that heightened military activity along the mountainous border with Afghanistan increases the risks of deadly mistakes, American and Pakistani forces have in recent weeks tried to improve their coordination. That cooperation had been largely suspended after the killing of Bin Laden, which President Obama ordered without informing the Pakistani authorities.
Just last Friday, Pakistan’s military commander, Army Gen. Ashfaq Parvez Kayani, met Gen. John R. Allen, the commander of coalition forces in Afghanistan, in Rawalpindi to discuss “measures concerning coordination, communication and procedures” between the Pakistan Army, the NATO-led International Security Assistance Force and the Afghan Army, “aimed at enhancing border control on both sides,” according to a statement by the Pakistani military.
“Then you have an incident that takes us back to where we were before her visit,” said Vali Nasr, a former deputy to the administration’s regional envoy, Richard C. Holbrooke, and now a professor at Tufts University.
The problem, Mr. Nasr said, is that the United States effectively has not one but two strategies for winning the war in Afghanistan.
While the State Department and the White House believe that only a negotiated political solution will end the war, American military and intelligence commanders believe that they must maximize pressure on the Taliban before the American military withdrawal begins in earnest before 2014. The military strategy has led to the intensified fighting in eastern Afghanistan along the border with Pakistan, increasing tensions. A major offensive last month involving 11,000 NATO troops and 25,000 Afghan fighters in seven provinces of eastern Afghanistan killed or captured hundreds of extremists, many of them using Pakistan as a base.

New Reports Warn of Escalating Dangers From Europe's Debt Crisis

PARIS — Warnings that the crisis in Europe could endanger the global economy and cause credit to dry up in the global banking system multiplied Monday, despite fresh efforts by European leaders to prevent the euro monetary union from fracturing.

The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development said the euro crisis remained “a key risk to the world economy.” The Paris-based research group sharply cut its forecasts for wealthy Western countries and cautioned that growth in Europe could come to a standstill.
Europe’s politicians have so far moved too slowly to prevent the crisis from spreading, the organization said in a report . It warned that the problems that started in Greece almost two years ago would start to infect even rich European countries thought to have relatively solid public finances if leaders dallied, a development that would “massively escalate economic disruption.”
“We are concerned that policy-makers fail to see the urgency of taking decisive action to tackle the real and growing risks to the global economy,” the O.E.C.D.’s chief economist Pier Carlo Padoan said.
The warning came just hours after Moody’s Investors Service issued its own bleak report on Europe’s rapidly escalating sovereign debt crisis.
The credit agency warning that the problems may lead multiple countries to default on their debts or exit the euro, which would threaten the credit standing of all 17 countries in the currency union.
It also said that while European politicians have expressed their commitment to holding the euro together and preventing defaults, their actions to address the crisis only seem to be taking place “after a series of shocks” force their hand. As a result, more countries may be shut out of borrowing in financial markets “for a sustained period,” Moody’s said, raising the specter of additional public bailouts on top of the multi-billion euro lifelines currently supporting Greece, Ireland and Portugal.
“The probability of multiple defaults by euro-area countries is no longer negligible,” Moody’s said. “A series of defaults would also increase the likelihood of one or more members not simply defaulting, but also leaving the euro area.”
Despite the gloomy predictions, stocks rose sharply in Europe and Asia for the first time in more than a week, and the euro strengthened, on hopes that European leaders were working on a new approach to resolve the crisis.
On Sunday, France, Germany and Italy signaled they were ready to agree on new rules to enforce budget discipline among the 17 nations that use the euro, and encourage more coordination of economic and fiscal policy.
Those efforts have so far been overshadowed by the failure of those countries to follow through on promises made back in July to bolster mechanisms to fight the euro crisis.
In particular, authorities have been slow to implement an expansion of the bailout fund, known as the European Financial Stability Facility, that was meant to raise money by issuing bonds backed by the stronger European countries and loan it to shakier countries facing high interest rates on their debt.
France last week bowed to pressure from Germany against the issuance of a common bond that would be backed by euro-zone countries, something investors said could help calm the crisis during the long time that it will take to expand the E.F.S.F.
Germany has also resisted calls to allow the European Central Bank to act as a lender of last resort to put out financial fires during the transition to a more federalist structure in the euro-zone.
The O.E.C.D. called on politicians to get the expanded bailout fund running as fast as possible, and said the E.C.B. must be allowed to step in more than it has to stem the crisis.
For now, the organization said it expects Europe’s leaders to do the right thing, and take sufficient action to avoid the type of defaults by European countries foreseen by Moody’s, as well as ward off both a sharp pullback in lending by spooked banks and the possibility of a wave of bank failures.
The Moody’s report came as anxiety intensified over Italy, whose borrowing costs have shot back above 7 percent in recent days despite promises by Mario Monti, the new prime minister, to enact a new austerity plan designed to reduce a mountain of debt.

Eleven dead, 33 missing in Indonesia bridge collapse


TENGGARONG: The death toll from a bridge collapse in Indonesian Borneo which hurled dozens of vehicles into a murky river has risen to 11; officials said Monday as authorities probed the cause of the disaster.
More than 30 people are believed to be missing after the 720-metre-long bridge – built to resemble San Francisco’s Golden Gate – over the Mahakam River collapsed on Saturday.
“The number of people killed were 11,” East Kalimantan province’s search and rescue agency head Harmoni Adi told reporters.
National Disaster Management Agency spokesman Sutopo Purwo Nugroho, who earlier put the toll at 10, said that bodies were washing up on the river banks.
“Thirty-nine people have been injured and based on reports by the community, at least 33 are missing,” he told AFP.
“It’s difficult to know exactly how many are missing because we don’t know how many vehicles and people fell when the bridge collapsed,” he said adding there was “zero visibility” in the river which is up to 40 metres (yards) deep.
Nugroho said rescue teams would use echo-sounding to analyse the position of the bridge’s underwater metal frame to ensure it is safe to start removing the debris.
Witnesses reportedly heard a loud crashing sound as the structure buckled, sending a public bus, cars and motorcycles plunging into the broad river in Kutai Kartanegara district.
Survivors desperately swam to the shore, screaming in panic, while others were trapped underwater beneath the debris.
The cause of the collapse was not immediately clear but Nugroho said on Sunday that a steel support cable for the bridge, finished in 2002, snapped as workers were repairing it.
The Jakarta Post daily quoted Public Works Minister Djoko Kirmanto as saying the bridge had been weakened after being struck by boats several times.
“A pillar almost collapsed last year because it was hit by a cargo barge that carried coal,” Kirmanto told the daily.
Indonesian President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono has ordered an investigation into the cause of the accident.
Indonesia is setting a blistering pace of growth, expected to top six percent this year, but investors complain infrastructure is hopelessly inadequate and that the nation is mired in corruption and red tape.
“Around ten to 20 percent of project funds usually go to corruption. The consequence is that building materials are of low quality,” said Sri Adiningsih, an economics lecturer at the Gadjah Mada University in Jogjakarta.
The government last year announced plans to spend $140 billion on infrastructure until 2014, more than half of which would have to come from the private sector.
There have been a string of bridge disasters in Indonesia in recent years, including two others this year, according to local newspapers.
Last month, a bridge in South Sumatra province collapsed under the weight of a trailer-truck loaded with construction materials, and in September two workers were killed and four injured when a bridge under construction collapsed in the same province.
Also on Sumatra Island, 12 children died in October last year when a suspension bridge collapsed as they were taking part in a traditional ceremony to dispel bad luck.
And in April 2009, one person died and two others were injured when a bridge collapsed in Central Kalimantan province.

Egyptians begin voting in first post-Mubarak poll


CAIRO: Voting has begun in Egypt’s first parliamentary elections since the ouster nine month ago of longtime authoritarian leader Hosni Mubarak.
The vote is a milestone many Egyptians hope will usher in a democratic age after decades of dictatorship.
But the ballot has already has been marred by turmoil in the streets, and the population is sharply polarized and confused over the nation’s direction.
Still, the vote promises to be the fairest and cleanest election in Egypt in the living memory.
Voters stood in long lines Monday outside some polling centers in Cairo well before they opened at 8 am local time, a rare sign of interest in political participation after decades of apathy.
Mubarak was ousted in a popular uprising in February.

Sunday, November 27, 2011

After Strike in Pakistan, Rage and Damage Control

KABUL, Afghanistan — The political fallout from a NATO airstrike in Pakistan that was operated out of Afghanistan and killed at least two dozen Pakistani soldiers became clearer on Sunday, as Pakistan seethed over the attack and the United States scrambled to contain the damage to an already frayed relationship.

Afghan officials, meanwhile, worried that they would bear the immediate brunt of Pakistan’s wrath and that the Pakistanis would follow through on threats to withdraw from an international conference on Afghanistan’s security and development that is scheduled for Dec. 5.
Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton called Pakistan’s foreign minister, Hina Rabbani Khar, to discuss the situation, and the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, Gen. Martin E. Dempsey, talked with Pakistan’s supreme army commander, Gen. Ashfaq Parvez Kayani. General Kayani spent much of the day leading a funeral service in Peshawar, Pakistan, for soldiers who had been killed and visiting others who were wounded in the attack on Saturday.
In her talk with Mrs. Clinton, Ms. Khar conveyed the “deep sense of rage felt across Pakistan,” according to a government statement. Demonstrations expressing anger at the United States broke out in major cities across the country.
The episode “negates the progress made by the two countries on improving relations and forces Pakistan to revisit the terms of engagement,” Ms. Khar was quoted as saying.
An investigation is under way to determine how the attack occurred, said NATO officials, who declined to discuss it until the inquiry was completed. Diplomats in Afghanistan who were briefed on the preliminary findings said that a joint NATO and Afghan force operating along the border came under sustained fire late Friday or early Saturday — it is not clear from whom — and called in air support.
The coalition forces tried to contact the Pakistani military on the other side of the border. It is unclear whom they reached, but the coalition forces believed they were free to fire back, and the aircraft struck positions in Pakistan, according to diplomats.
The Pakistani government said 24 people had been killed, but accounts near the scene in the Mohmand tribal region said the toll was as high as 28.
The cross-border strike not only resulted in more deaths than previous attacks, but it also occurred at a particularly tense moment in relations between Pakistan and the United States, and between Pakistan and Afghanistan, said diplomats and analysts in Afghanistan and Pakistan.
“There have been incidents like this before, incidents where three or four Pakistanis regrettably died, but 25 people or more, that’s on a different scale,” said a Western diplomat in Kabul who spoke on the condition of anonymity because of the delicacy of the subject.
The relationship between the United States and Pakistan, already damaged last winter when a C.I.A. contractor killed two Pakistanis, plummeted after the cross-border mission that killed Osama bin Laden in May.
The Pakistani government also faces a delicate domestic political situation. The Pakistani population is strongly anti-American, and the government must take a strong stand when its troops are killed. If it fails to do so, it risks losing popular support and, with it, the ability to fight extremists like the Pakistani Taliban.
On Sunday, dozens of protesters belonging to Jamaat-e-Islami, which is considered the country’s most disciplined Islamist political party, demonstrated in the eastern city of Lahore. Zikrullah Mujahid, a Jamaat-e-Islami leader, said: “The so-called war against terrorism is not our war. It is a war of America and NATO.”
In Karachi, thousands of protesters gathered outside the United States Consulate and shouted “Down with America!” Reuters reported.
In Ghotki, in Sindh Province, the opposition leader Imran Khan, who has opposed the fight against extremists in the federally administered tribal areas, urged the government to pull out of “America’s war.”
Meanwhile, in Kabul, the Afghan government said it was concerned about Pakistan’s threat to shun the conference on Afghanistan’s future in Bonn, Germany. Aimal Faizi, a spokesman for President Hamid Karzai, urged Pakistan not to punish Afghanistan for NATO’s actions.
A spokesman for the Afghan Foreign Ministry, Janan Mosazai, described the conference as important “in terms of the vision the Afghan government will be sharing with the international community, with the region, in the 10 years after transition.”
The conference, to which more than 50 countries are sending representatives, was organized to showcase the international commitment to Afghanistan’s security and to reassure Afghans and potential foreign investors about the nation’s future.
If Pakistan, which is widely seen as a seedbed for the Afghan insurgency, refuses to participate, those goals could be undermined, leaving little doubt that the fighting will continue, according to Western diplomats and military officials.
Mr. Mosazai said the Afghan government had been contacted by Pakistan’s ambassador in Kabul, but he did not elaborate. But Pakistani officials said they had strongly protested to their Afghan counterparts about the “use of Afghan territory against Pakistan” and urged the government to prevent similar attacks.
In a recent consultative assembly, Mr. Karzai promised that Afghan soil would never be used to attack neighboring countries. Although he was speaking about the strategic partnership that he is negotiating with the United States, the issue has resonated in the region, where both Iran and Pakistan fear the American military presence in Afghanistan.
Mr. Faizi, the president’s spokesman, said the government stood by that commitment, and the assembly, with more than 2,000 participants, endorsed it.
“These bases will not be used against any neighboring country,” he said. “That’s the advice of the Afghan people and, of course, the president. We stand by that.”
Alissa J. Rubin reported from Kabul, and Salman Masood from Islamabad, Pakistan. Steven Lee Myers contributed reporting from Washington.

In Fog of War, Rift Widens Between U.S. and Pakistan

Pakistani soldiers in Peshawar honored colleagues who were killed in Saturday’s NATO air attack on border posts in Pakistan.

WASHINGTON — The NATO air attack that killed at least two dozen Pakistani soldiers over the weekend reflected a fundamental truth about American-Pakistani relations when it comes to securing the unruly border with Afghanistan: the tactics of war can easily undercut the broader strategy that leaders of both countries say they share.
The murky details complicated matters even more, with Pakistani officials saying the attack on two Pakistani border posts was unprovoked and Afghan officials asserting that Afghan and American commandos called in airstrikes after coming under fire from Pakistani territory. NATO has promised an investigation.
The reaction inside Pakistan nonetheless followed a now-familiar pattern of anger and tit-for-tat retaliation. So did the American response of regret laced with frustration and suspicion. Each side’s actions reflected a deepening distrust that gets harder to repair with each clash.
The question now, as one senior American official put it on Sunday, is “what kind of resilience is left” in a relationship that has sunk to new lows time after time this year — with the arrest in January of a C.I.A. officer, Raymond Davis, the killing of Osama bin Laden in May and the deaths of so many Pakistani soldiers.
In each of those cases, Pakistan had reason to feel that the United States had violated its sovereignty. Even if circumstances on the ground justified the American actions, they have nonetheless made it difficult to sustain political support inside Pakistan for the strategic cooperation that both countries acknowledge is vital to winning the war in Afghanistan. “Imagine how we would feel if it had been 24 American soldiers killed by Pakistani forces at this moment,” Senator Richard J. Durbin, Democrat from Illinois, said on “Fox News Sunday.” The rift is one result of the United States’ two-pronged strategy in Afghanistan, which relies on both negotiating and fighting to end the war.
The latest breach in relations came only five weeks after Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton led a senior American delegation to Pakistan to deliver a blunt warning to the country’s leaders to intensify pressure on extremists carrying out attacks into Afghanistan, while at the same time urging them to help bring more moderate members of the Taliban to the negotiating table.
Mrs. Clinton called the administration’s approach “fight, talk, build,” meaning the United States and its allies would continue to attack militants in Afghanistan and beyond, seek peace talks with those willing to join a political process and build closer economic ties across the region. All are essential to any hope of peace and stability in Afghanistan, and all rely on Pakistan. That has forced the two countries into a strategic alliance whose tactics seem to strain it over and over again.
Mrs. Clinton’s diplomacy — bolstered by Gen. Martin E. Dempsey, the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, and David H. Petraeus, the director of the C.I.A. — appeared to smooth out the roughest edges in relations, according to officials from both countries.
Recognizing that heightened military activity along the mountainous border with Afghanistan increases the risks of deadly mistakes, American and Pakistani forces have in recent weeks tried to improve their coordination. That cooperation had been largely suspended after the killing of Bin Laden, which President Obama ordered without informing the Pakistani authorities.
Just last Friday, Pakistan’s military commander, Army Gen. Ashfaq Parvez Kayani, met Gen. John R. Allen, the commander of coalition forces in Afghanistan, in Rawalpindi to discuss “measures concerning coordination, communication and procedures” between the Pakistan Army, the NATO-led International Security Assistance Force and the Afghan Army, “aimed at enhancing border control on both sides,” according to a statement by the Pakistani military.
“Then you have an incident that takes us back to where we were before her visit,” said Vali Nasr, a former deputy to the administration’s regional envoy, Richard C. Holbrooke, and now a professor at Tufts University.
The problem, Mr. Nasr said, is that the United States effectively has not one but two strategies for winning the war in Afghanistan.
While the State Department and the White House believe that only a negotiated political solution will end the war, American military and intelligence commanders believe that they must maximize pressure on the Taliban before the American military withdrawal begins in earnest before 2014. The military strategy has led to the intensified fighting in eastern Afghanistan along the border with Pakistan, increasing tensions. A major offensive last month involving 11,000 NATO troops and 25,000 Afghan fighters in seven provinces of eastern Afghanistan killed or captured hundreds of extremists, many of them using Pakistan as a base.

Pakistan fire may have prompted Nato strike: WSJ

People offer funeral prayers of Saturday's Nato attack victims in Peshawar.

WASHINGTON: Fire from a Pakistani military outpost into Afghanistan prompted the Nato cross-border air strikes that left 24 Pakistani soldiers dead, a report said Sunday, citing Afghan and Western officials.
The Wall Street Journal, citing three unnamed Afghan officials and one Western official, said the attack —which has prompted fury in Islamabad —was called in to shield Nato and Afghan forces targeting Taliban fighters.
The fire came from remote outposts in the Mohmand region.
“There was firing coming from the position against Afghan army soldiers who requested support and this is what happened,” an Afghan official in Kabul said on condition of anonymity.
The official added that the government in Kabul believes the fire came from the Pakistani military base —and not from insurgents in the area.
That version was corroborated by two Afghan officials working in the border zone.
One border police official said Pakistani officials were informed of the Nato operation ahead of time.

Time for Saudi Arabia to embrace its Shias

Shias in Qatif, Saudi Arabia, watch a re-enactment of the battle of Karbala.

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia should embrace its Shia minority to prevent Iran from using them to destabilise the kingdom, experts said after four Shias were shot dead in clashes with police.
But they also advised Saudi security forces to clamp down on suspected armed men infiltrating protests, after the interior ministry said gunmen with foreign agendas had attacked security forces in the Eastern Province.
“The region is going through a historic phase,” said a political science lecturer at Riyadh’s King Saud University, Khaled al-Dakheel.
“This should be borne in mind when dealing with the Shia issue so that it does not become a political card for foreign parties to play,” he said, in a clear reference to Iran.
Warning that the Arab Spring which has swept the region and toppled three autocratic leaders could reach any part of the Middle East, Dakheel said the Shias should be recognised as full citizens.
“Shias are citizens. They stress that, and should be treated on these bases. But they should also voice their demands as citizens and not as Shias,” he said.
“The difference between sects is part of a social and intellectual pluralism in the society that should contribute to enrichment, not division,” he argued.
Four Shias were shot dead this week in Qatif in the Eastern Province, scene of protests. The interior ministry said security forces had come under fire from gunmen operating on “foreign orders.”
The region that is home to the majority of the kingdom’s Shia population of around two million is no stranger to uprisings, going back to 1979 with riots which came hot on the heels of the Islamic revolution in Iran.
In March, Shias in the oil-rich Eastern Province demonstrated in sympathy with fellow Shias in neighbouring Bahrain, after security forces clamped down on pro-democracy protests led by that country’s majority Shia community.
Qatif protesters were back on the street in October demanding the release of those arrested in March.
But this week, the interior ministry said two policemen were wounded by gunfire in the confrontations, in an unprecedented development.
“This is the first time that gunfire is used in a demonstration,” said the head of the Dubai-based Gulf Research Centre, Abdulaziz al-Sager.
He said the government should clamp down on gunmen, just as it did with Sunni militants from Al-Qaeda who were behind an upsurge of violence in the kingdom between 2003 and 2006.
But he also argued the government should appease the Shias.
“The government should work on the political and social front with Shia leaders who reject foreign meddling,” he said. “The government should act to prevent foreign infiltration.”
The governor of the Eastern Province, Prince Mohammed bin Fahd bin Abdul Aziz, is said to have told Shia dignitaries that the interior ministry will be probing the deaths of protesters.
The head of the Jeddah-based Middle East Centre for Strategic Studies, Anwar Eshki, blamed Iran for the unrest.
“Iran wants to cause trouble in Saudi Arabia. This is a matter that goes back more than 20 years, since the (Iranian) pilgrims were mobilised, but they have failed,” he said.
In 1987, clashes between Saudi police and Iranian pilgrims demonstrating in Mecca left 402 people dead, including 275 Iranians.
“Things appear to have developed, from demonstrations to terrorist attacks … Saudi Arabia will deal with them in the future on the basis of being terrorists,” he said.
In Iran, a hard-line senior cleric said on Friday that the Al-Saud dynasty should give up power, warning that the fate of Egypt’s toppled president Hosni Mubarak awaits King Abdullah.
“You should give up power and leave it to the people. They will establish a people’s government,” Ayatollah Ahmad Jannati said in the weekly Muslim prayers at Tehran University.